Trends
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“More groundbreaking is welcome news for a supply-starved housing market.” — First American deputy chief economist Odeta Kushi
The measurement of six-month sales expectations among homebuilders took an especially negative turn in March, according to the National Association of Home Builders.
“Investors are weighing the impacts of rapidly increasing inflation in the U.S. and many other parts of the world against the potential for a slowdown in economic growth due to a renewed bout of supply-chain constraints.” — MBA associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting Joel Kan
Of the homes that went under contract during the four weeks ended March 6, 58% had an accepted offer within the first two weeks of going on the market, and 45% had an accepted offer within just one week, Redfin reported.
Seattle housing is among the most expensive in the nation, but the city’s median income also ranks high, balancing out its placement on the index.
“Looking ahead, the potential for higher inflation amidst disruptions in oil and other commodity flows will likely lead to a period of volatility in rates.” — MBA associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting Joel Kan
Homeowner tenure has flattened since its 2020 peak.
Demand has been trending up since the beginning of the pandemic.
The pace of new home listings is gaining steam, a welcome development in the face of high demand from buyers, Redfin reported.
Spokane was No. 1, where 83.3% of offers written by Redfin agents faced a bidding war, followed by Sacramento, Seattle and Dallas.
“Given the situation in the market — mortgages, home costs and inventory — it would not be surprising to see a retreat in housing demand.” — NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun
Large cities with expensive housing ranked highest on what Redfin calls its “net outflow” calculations — homebuyers looking to leave minus homebuyers looking to move in.
“Builders are entering 2022 with backlogs that they are having a hard time completing due to material and labor shortages, and new-home prices are sitting near a historic high.” — First American Deputy Chief Economist Odeta Kushi
While rising interest rates may lead to more reductions in the housing supply, it may also bring some much-needed balance to the market.
Mortgage applications fell more than 13% in the most-recent week tracked by the Mortgage Bankers Association’s Market Composite Index, while interest rates continued to rise.
“Production disruptions are so severe that many builders are waiting months to receive cabinets, garage doors, countertops and appliances.” — NAHB Chairman Jerry Konter